Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook (Text)
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lala, located several hundred miles north of Pearl and Hermes
Atoll, on Tropical Storm Iselle, located several hundred miles
west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on
Tropical Storm Julio, located well west-southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California Peninsula.
Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave located well to the south of southern Mexico is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system
has become become better organized since yesterday, and
environmental conditions appear favorable for further development.
A tropical depression is expected to form in a few days while it
moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well offshore
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Western East Pacific:
A trough of low pressure located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is forecast to form along the
trough during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions
appear conducive for some gradual development thereafter. A tropical
depression is likely to form during the latter part of the week or
early this weekend while the system drifts northeastward, then
turns to the west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Well Offshore of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore of Central America
late this week or this weekend. Environmental conditions should
support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well offshore
of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south of the Hawaiian
Islands late this week. Some gradual development is possible by
the weekend into early next week while the system moves slowly to
the west or west-northwest, well south-southwest of the Hawaiian
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Full text at NHC